TMUA October 2026 Score Estimate: What Your Raw Marks Are Likely Worth
A simple lookup table from total raw marks to a likely TMUA score, based on the 2024 and 2025 papers and a check of this year's recalled questions.
TL;DR
- 32/40 ≈ 7.2. 35/40 ≈ 8.3.
- Expect about half a point of movement. This is an estimate, not an official score.
1. Look Up Your Total
Add Paper 1 and Paper 2.
| Correct / 40 | Likely score | Correct / 40 | Likely score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.0 | 21 | 4.6 |
| 1 | 1.0 | 22 | 4.8 |
| 2 | 1.0 | 23 | 5.0 |
| 3 | 1.0 | 24 | 5.2 |
| 4 | 1.0 | 25 | 5.4 |
| 5 | 1.0 | 26 | 5.7 |
| 6 | 1.1 | 27 | 5.9 |
| 7 | 1.3 | 28 | 6.1 |
| 8 | 1.6 | 29 | 6.3 |
| 9 | 1.9 | 30 | 6.6 |
| 10 | 2.1 | 31 | 6.9 |
| 11 | 2.4 | 32 | 7.2 |
| 12 | 2.7 | 33 | 7.5 |
| 13 | 2.9 | 34 | 7.9 |
| 14 | 3.1 | 35 | 8.3 |
| 15 | 3.3 | 36 | 8.7 |
| 16 | 3.5 | 37 | 9.0 |
| 17 | 3.7 | 38 | 9.0 |
| 18 | 3.9 | 39 | 9.0 |
| 19 | 4.1 | 40 | 9.0 |
| 20 | 4.3 |
Expect about half a point of movement around these numbers. Do not treat the decimal as exact.
2. How to Use It
- Clearly above your target course's usual level: wait for results and prepare for the next stage.
- Close to your target: wait for the actual result in mid-November before deciding on next steps.
- Clearly below your target: January is not a general retake. Cambridge says October-deadline applicants must sit in October; January is mainly for mature applicants applying in the January round. Check UAT-UK and your university's rules before planning around it.
3. What the Score Means
UAT-UK fixes the October median at 4.5 and the October top-10% boundary at 7.0. Your score is your position in the October field. There is no universal admissions cutoff; each university uses the score its own way.
4. Before Results Day
- Write down your Paper 1 and Paper 2 marks now.
- Do not recalculate every day; the estimate will not move.
- Check whether you are eligible for January before planning around it.
FAQ
I got 32/40. What is my likely score?
About 7.2, with roughly half a point of movement either way.
How accurate is this?
It is an estimate, not an official conversion. Most students should land close to the table.
Does a harder paper lower my score?
At the same raw mark, a harder paper means a higher score, because the same mark required more ability. A stronger cohort pushes the other way.
Can I retake in January?
Not as a general retake. Cambridge says October-deadline applicants must take the test in October; January is mainly for mature applicants applying in the January round. Check UAT-UK and your university's rules.
The table is an estimate based on the 2024 and 2025 papers. It is not an official score. The final result depends on this year's cohort and the paper you received.
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